} Grassley is rated highest on being a better reflection of Iowa values, with 56% of likely voters saying he best embodies that trait, compared with 35% saying Franken does. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Iowa Senate - Grassley vs. Franken The chamber's Republican majority increased from 32-18 to 34-16. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. Some states and some individual counties provide results broken down by type of ballot cast, which can include Election Day votes, or those cast early, either in person or by mail. But Selzer noted he does not get a majority of any of the groups aside from those who have no religious affiliation. z-index:1; The Senate is empowered to create laws and establish the state budget. Anthony LaBruna, Dave Rowley(i) Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required? text-align: center; Lazaro Gamio Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. US Sen. Chuck Grassley wins reelection. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { height: 56px; Heres who won Nate Cohn Kim Reynolds (R) signed new congressional and state legislative maps into law after the state's Legislative Services Agency had proposed them on October 21, 2021. Alicia Parlapiano chevron = $(this).find('i.fa-pull-right'); Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. chevron.addClass('fa-chevron-up'); . In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. color: #fff; Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. A primary election candidate must file an affidavit of candidacy and nomination petition with the Iowa Secretary of State during the primary election filing period, which begins 99 days before the primary and ends at 5 p.m. on the 81st day before the primary. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. .candidateListTablePartisan td { Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. } Could he really win? 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. "Someone else" with 3%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%, "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 4%, "Would not vote" (volunteered answer) with 1%, This poll was sponsored by Franken's campaign, This poll was sponsored by Finkenauer's campaign, This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation, American Federation of Government Employees, International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers, Iowa Professional Fire Fighters Association, Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee, Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions, National Federation of Independent Business, Laborers' International Union of North America, "Grassley will seek reelection, boosting GOP's majority hopes", "Chuck Grassley Defeats Mike Franken, Wins Eighth Senate Term", "BREAKING: State Sen. Jim Carlin is running for United States Senate seat currently held by Chuck Grassley, says if our votes do not count, we no longer have a representative government", "Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz", "Sen. Chuck Grassley will seek an eighth term", "Chuck Grassley says grandson's "never expressed" interest in U.S. Senate bid", "Grassley endorsed by Iowans who worked in Trump administration", "FEC Iowa Senate Candidate financial totals", "Official Results - 2022 Primary Election", "Iowa Democrat group looks to draft retired admiral Mike Franken to challenge Chuck Grassley", "Can't let the "philosophically unhinged" win control of Senate", "Michael Franken launches US Senate campaign challenging Chuck Grassley", "U.S. Senate candidate Abby Finkenauer will appear on primary ballot, Iowa Supreme Court rules", "Democrat Glenn Hurst, a rural Iowa doctor and city council member, is running for U.S. Senate", "Dave Muhlbauer drops out of 2022 Senate race", "First Democrat announces Senate bid against Iowa's Grassley", "Campaign Almanac: Ashley's Army returns for 2022 race", "Bob Krause to run for U.S. Senate, aiming for Chuck Grassley's seat", "Mike Franken has the right experience, perspective", "Cindy Axne to endorse Abby Finkenauer for U.S. Senate an indication she will not seek the seat herself", "Abby Finkenauer moves toward Iowa Senate run", "State Auditor Rob Sand considering run for Iowa governor or U.S. Senate", "Iowa Democrat J.D. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. flex-wrap: wrap; Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. Lazaro Gamio document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ff7aa4eacea').addEventListener('click', event => { } } Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. } The Iowa Poll, which was conducted by Selzer & Co., shows likely voters are reacting favorably to that part of his biography. box-sizing: border-box; Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. .leg-hnt-title { Information below was calculated on May 20, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time. } .leg-hnt-district-number { The last four mid-term elections have been a disaster for the party that held the presidency. Iowa Results CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters deliver ringing endorsement of abortion rights on midterm ballot initiatives across the US Why were the. A convention may be held at any time as long as it is before the general election filing deadline. .thirdpartyname:not(:first-child) { .results_table_container { .leg-hnt-responsive-columns { If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Lazaro Gamio The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. National election forecasters downgraded Grassleys chances of winning reelection from a safe or solid bet to a likely one. Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses, By Non-party Political Organization (NPPO) convention, Annual State Legislative Competitiveness Report: Vol. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. .percentage_number { In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. Maggie Astor And Franken, by comparison, it's more lukewarm among his base.. Vance, a Republican and the Hillbilly Elegy author, is very likely to win Ohios Senate race, according to our estimates. . In addition to his overall advantage, Grassley leads Franken in each of seven character traits tested by the Iowa Poll. text-align: center; Heres the state of the closest races: if ($(this).next('div.vis_widget_table').is(":hidden")) { Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. He earns their support 47% to 41%. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline? While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. Whenever that information is widely available in a state on election night, NBC News will display it. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. In 2022, candidates in the 25 districts labeled with odd numbers . break-inside: avoid-column; .leg-hnt-hide { John Fetterman. function widget_load_check_jquery() { Janet Mills of Maine. John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. , Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. } J.D. According to the poll, 60% of Iowas likely voters said Grassleys age was a concern, including 86% of Democrats, 64% of independents and 37% of Republicans. The winners of these eight seats will serve two-year terms. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Alicia Parlapiano } } I think hes going to vote for policy for drilling and fracking again and do everything, I hope, to get the fuel prices back down, which fuels our economy, said Donner, a political independent and truck driver. padding: 2px 0; The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted 1,118 Iowa adults with randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Dynata. margin: 0px 10px; In Colorado, a measure to decriminalize certain psychedelics is close but yet to be decided. 100% remote. This was Grassley's closest Senate race since he was first elected in 1980 and the first election since that time in which he did not crack 60% of the vote. Reporting by Grace Ashford, Maggie Astor, Michael C. Bender, Sarah Borell, Sarah Cahalan, Emily Cochrane, Nick Corasaniti, Jill Cowan, Catie Edmondson, Reid J. Epstein, Nicholas Fandos, Lalena Fisher, Trip Gabriel, Katie Glueck, J. 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