The Liberal Party has held the seat since 2001. Reach the author at rpayerchin@MorningJournal.com or follow Richard on Twitter: @MJ_JournalRick. [6], Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. THERE are a dozen candidates in the Canning by-election on September 19. Who are they and what are the issues they are standing for? But there are nine other candidates hoping to take the federal seat. Canning was held for Labor by George Gear from 1984 until 1996 when it fell to Liberal Ms Ricky Johnston at her fifth attempt to win the seat. Elections 2022. On this screen you will find First Preferences and Two Candidate Preferred, Updated: Friday, 09 October 2015 01:14:15 PM, the number of votes and the percentage of the formal vote received by each candidate, the swing as measured as the difference between the percentage of first preference votes received by a party candidate at this election and the percentage of the first preference votes received by that party's candidate in the comparable polling places at the previous election. At the tail-end of a mining boom, it is imperative that we have a plan for jobs in the future. It was originally a country seat that traded hands between the two main centre-right parties, the Liberal and Country parties. City of Canning - Local Government elections Local Government Elections An Ordinary Postal Election was held on Saturday 16 October 2021. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Candidates Andrew Hastie ( Liberal) Amanda Hunt ( Labor) Tammi Siwes ( One Nation) Anthony Gardyne ( Federation) James Waldeck ( United Australia) Brad Bedford ( Western Australia Party) Judith Congrene ( Informed Medical Options) Jodie Moffat ( Greens) Ashley Williams ( Independent) Avon is such a wonderful community, and by working with the city, community and collaborating with various groups, like the French Creek Foundation, we can make sure we are growing stronger together, she said. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. As a lecturer and small-business owner, I plan to draw on my background and research in low-carbon urban development to help create affordable and sustainable housing in the electorate. The less the focus is on national concerns the happier theyll be. The third most important area currently is moving past the effects of the novel coronavirus pandemic. It is significant that the one against trend result occurred in 2010 when Labor nominated a high profile candidate in Alannah MacTiernan and mounted a more vigorous campaign. Presumably there comes a time when the electorate says now hang on a minute, and the advantage passes to Labor who can oppose what the government is doing without the public accepting that Labor is soft on terror. A: I think if the Liberals can limit the swing to below 8%, they can spin that. GREG SMITH, AUSTRALIAN DEFENCE VETERANS PARTY. Canning was held for Labor by George Gear from 1984 until 1996 when it fell to Liberal Ms Ricky Johnston at her fifth attempt to win the seat. Over the weekend, the media were speculating on the repercussions of a significant swing against the government, including the possible removal of Treasurer Joe Hockey from his portfolio. ), Liberal results in Canning have tracked the party's state-wide, though bit by bit Liberal results in Canning have risen above the state voting trend. I agree he will hold with his margin cut in half. The BRS case might have some impact, probably not a lot in it though. But Rudd blew it. This screen shows the results for a particular division. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. My training and experience has taught me you have to work with everyone to find long-term solutions to issues. the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages received for this election, the corresponding percentages received for the last election, and swing. Ive also seen comparisons to Geelong, but Mandurah is close enough to Perth sprawl and a lot smaller. Out of the four this seat is probably the Liberals best chance of retaining. Greens candidate for Canning Jodie Moffat. Canning received a degree from the University of Oregon School of Law. Its main beneficiary was the Canning electorate. Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie has already survived a media storm surrounding his time served in Afghanistan. His narrow margin in 2001 blew out to 59.5% in 2004, shrinking to 52.2% in 2010 before growing out to 61.8% in 2013. Sadie Canning was Western Australias, and possibly Australias, first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron who made a significant contribution to Australian health and Indigenous outcomes; and. Making sure growth is aligned with infrastructure, while maintaining fiscal responsibility. The Liberal two-party votes ranged from 46.3% at the Riverside Primary School in the Mandurah suburbs of Greenfields, to 75.2% at rural Coolup Community Hall in the far south of the electorate. According to WDs logic everyone will be pm. HAHAHHAHAHAHA Want to put my predictions against yours !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!. Labor endorsed a high profile candidate for the 2010 election in Alannah MacTiernan, the former state MP for Armidale and Minister for Planning and Infrastructure through two terms of state Labor government. Q: How large a swing will Labor need to attain to worry Tony Abbotts leadership and possibly trigger a cabinet reshuffle? We need to be supporting these types of industries for our long-term prosperity and sustainability. Hastie was appointed Assistant Minister for Defence in December 2020. Q: Two-and-a-half weeks out, what are you seeing in the polling data? Canning Paschim, West Bengal Election . Read our Privacy Policy. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. Presumably Bill Shorten will promise the support of a future federal Labor government for the scheme. But now that WAs boom is over, what about labourers? However, he is only 39 so its not as if he is in his twilight years. According to WDs logic everyone will be pm. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. It seemed Labor underperformed here compared to WA more generally. It was the only Western Australian seat to record a swing to Labor at the election. Her latest role was as the Uniting Church chief executive. But that also gives the leaders an array of things that they can use to spin the results. But that's just a small part of . For Labor candidate Matt Keogh, I think Julie Bishops jibe that hes a hipster lawyer might bite a little. Before the election Hunt was CEO of Uniting WA, and prior to that as State Director of Mission Australia for WA. Randall won Canning outright at the 2013 federal election, with 51.07% of the primary vote and a two-party-preferred margin of 11.8%. No information on Ashely Elphin Williams was available. New Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was elected despite the Liberal margin being halved by a 6.5% swing, but the swing attracted far less attention than it would have if Abbott had still been Leader. I truly see Hastie as Australias JFK. I will continue to understand the need to offer students a variety of educational opportunities so that they can explore more subject and educational content so as they have to start to choose a career path, they have had a variety of experiences to help with the decision-making process, she said. MacTiernan contested and won Perth at the 2013 Federal election, while Canning saw another Liberal blow-out for Don Randall. Randall's margin was cut by 4% at the 2007 election and shaved further by the 2009 redistribution. Could Australia follow suit? It cant draw on a broader narrative that includes the economy and voters hip-pockets. The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. Gerick was defeated narrowly by Liberal candidate Don Randallin 2001. Election | Randall died suddenly in mid-2015, causing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Liberal leadership. But how can they sell tax cuts without dismantling the rest of their argument about restoring the budget? Hamilton retired in 1961 and the seat was won by Liberal Neil McNeill, who was defeated by the Country Partys John Hallett in 1963. Q: Thats fine if youre selling something. She is a founding member of the End Homelessness Alliance, and has sat on a number of Boards including Community Employers WA, SECCA, and WACOSS. The Liberals are at such a high watermark after the last federal election, and theyve also been in power at the state level for a long time. Booths are split into four areas. Born in Perth, David Gardiner identifies strongly with libertarian values of freedom of speech, individual responsibility and free markets that allow small businesses to flourish. All over Canning people are telling me theyre angry about Tony Abbotts failure to create jobs and his cuts to schools and hospitals. Randall held Canning for over a decade, winning re-election in 2004, 2007, 2010 and 2013. Avon Schools are top performers academically but at the bottom for dollars spent per pupil, Weigman said. However, Randalls personal vote was estimated to be around 5%. It didnt matter to the former Member for Canning, Don Randall, if the issues were local, state or federal, he worked for the best outcome and thats what I intend to do. A: Its probably a smart move in terms of coherent Liberal Party messaging. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Andrew Hastie (Liberal) since a September 2015 by-election. Any insights. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. June 8, 2022. Address the learning gap created by disruption of the novel coronavirus pandemic in the 2020/2021 school year. [1] For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Hastie was re-elected in 2016 and 2019. Yoh An Yes. As a lecturer at Curtin University, I oppose the Abbott Governments attempts to deter young people from university with fee hikes. The civil litigation lawyer and environmental activist says she is driven by the chance to give future generations the same opportunities in life in education and in the environment. I am honest, ethical, passionate about educating our future generations, and strive to do my personal best in all my endeavors.. From what I can see Labor hasnt named a candidate for the seat yet. Reached the rank of major in the army and served in East Timor in 2001. He serves on the Joint Statutory committee on Intelligence and Security and the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade. Since the landslide election in 2018 that swept the populist former mayor of Mexico City and his Morena opposition movement into power, "AMLO" has sought to take his country back into the 20th . The electorates also extends into Perth's Darling Range suburbs to include Karragullen and Roleystone. Advertisement Ad Local News Oh gee, she's Sandra Dee: Peel actress steps into iconic Grease role The candidates were sent Morning Journal questionnaires and here are some of their responses: Canning, 48, is hoping to win a seat on the school board he was appointed to this year. I feel this seat has potential for a very large swing towards Labor but it wont be enough to unseat Hastie. I thought there will be more Red around Byford (mortgage belt) and Mandurah north of the estuary. Siwes describes herself as one of nine children from a hard-working family and states that she has seen her fair share of poverty and the toll on families caused by the injustices of the family law courts. Its easy to sell the message that sure, he may have grown up in the area, but he lives in the trendy inner suburb of Mount Lawley and he is clearly part of the Labor political class. Redistributions since have added more rural areas, and bit by bit have also swallowed the Mandurah metropolitan area. What is the most pressing issue you will tackle, if elected? A software development manager for a Perth-based company. Voters in the Avon School District will pick three school board members from among six candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot. This steady transfer of Mandurah from Brand to Canning has strengthened Labor's position in Brand and weakened it in Canning. Theyre two different places with very different outlooks. University of Western Australia provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU. These boundary changes took place at the 2022 election. We must end this discrimination. Kevin Rudd had a massive lead in the polls and Canning was on a narrow margin. And only just of matter months Mactiernan who looked certain to win the seat had her chances evaporated with a snap of a fingers. As a single mother, she also said she had balanced work and parenthood like so many other Western Australians. Former SAS officer Andrew Hastie, 32, will stand as the Liberal Party candidate, while former Law Society of WA president Matthew Keogh will run for Labor. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. Canning had a Liberal margin of 4.3 percent leading into the 2010 election,[2] and was targeted by Labor, who stood high-profile candidate and former state Labor MP Alannah MacTiernan. Hastie will be PM by 2028 . There are an awful lot of factors at play here, which makes it really messy to analyse. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties campaigns and the key issues in Canning. Candidate profile: Laura Chonko for Avon School Board, November 2021 A list of profiles for Electorates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022. Despite this, Mr Hastie says he fights for the things that matter in his electorate, like stopping the Point Grey dredge alongside a grassroots community campaign. Meanwhile, Ms Hunt, who was also previously State director of Mission Australia, says voters in Canning want a Federal Government and a local member who will work in partnership with WA. She also has a heart for the homeless and disadvantaged and is actively involved in outreach programs that assist the homeless population. Defeating Gerick was Don Randall, who had previously represented Swan 1996-98. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. He joined the military in 2001 following the September 11 attacks and moved to Western Australia in 2010 to undertake SAS training. Alfred Canning was a surveyor who surveyed routes for the rabbit-proof fence from Starvation Harbour to Cape Keraudren and stockroutes to bring cattle from the Kimberley district to feed those working the Western Australian goldfields. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. He listed (Swan, Pearce, and Hasluck). She said she was focused on community transformation and bridging the gap between excess and poverty. As of the 2022 election, it includes most of the Peel region, including the City of Mandurah and the Shires of Serpentine-Jarrahdale (including Byford and Mundijong), Murray (including Pinjarra, Yunderup and Dwellingup), and Waroona (including Waroona and Preston Beach). Vanessa Rauland, with Senators Scott Ludlam and Rachel Siewert is standing for the Greens. He worked as Sandusky bureau chief from 2000 to 2008. The ALPs Wendy Fatin won the seat in 1983 at the same time as the election of the Hawke government. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Andrew Hastie retains seat held since 2015. Election | With a couple of days to go until it's time to hit the voting booths on May 21, the Mail has summed up what your local candidates are advocating for. She said she wanted to be there for the people of Canning - hoping to bring more tourism to the area and get money back into the region. She was defeated after a single term in 1998, as was her Labor successor Jane Gerick in 2001. But Im not sure if thats common, if theyre happy about it or how theyre seen within WA. . Sign up for our newsletter to stay up to date. Moffat is a civil litigation lawyer, mother and environmental activist. Her passion for disadvantaged and vulnerable population groups has been instrumental in her working across multiple health care settings including emergency and critical care, forensics, and rural and remote work amongst Aboriginal populations. Results 1983-2019. [4], In 2016, the more urbanised areas of the City of Armadale west of the Albany Highway and South Western Highway, together with the suburbs of Mount Nasura and Kelmscott, were redistributed to the new Division of Burt. I will continue to be a good community partner working with the PTA and booster groups along with city leaders in Avon to ensure we have a strong relationship. 2024 Election Congress PM Candidate Kamal Nath . She said she was fighting for fully informed consent for all medical interventions and the necessity for all doctors to be unrestricted in speaking truthfully to their patients. Since being elected he said he had worked hard to deliver for communities across the Canning electorate including roads and rail, health services, job opportunities, reliable mobile and internet coverage, and support for local volunteers. Since 1980 it has been located in the southern suburbs of the two largest cities in Western Australia, Perth and Mandurah. PVO either misspoke or has started making stupid predictions again. 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status, Sadie Miriam Canning MBE, 19302008. Provide the best opportunities, programs, facilities and support to students. I am proud to be standing with a political party that supports marriage equality. There are 11 people vying for the Canning seat. Maybe Andrew Hasties hawkish stance on China helped him here. In 2019, he won the seat by 21,002 votes. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[7]. So, the sentiment might be that were strong trading partners with China and need to do what we can to strengthen the relationship. Canning is probably quite a fortuitous electorate for the Liberals to be facing a byelection in because its got a reasonably old and settled population profile. Click here to learn more about the city's mayoral election. ANGELA SMITH, SUSTAINABLE POPULATION PARTY. Q: The one issue that seems to be resonating with the electorate is crime, which is fundamentally a state issue. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). The Division of Canning is an Australian Electoral Division in Western Australia . the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages . Election results in Canning at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party and Labor. Canning is an interesting seat as it has a strong Labor area in Mandurah that is surrounded by strong Liberal areas. By hiring highly talented leaders, staff and educators, Avon has been able to excel on school performance while still being financially responsible with taxpayer money.. Canning election candidates question and answer | ELECTION 2016. Held by the Liberal Party for the last 21 years, Labor is targeting Canning in its blitz of key seats it hopes to take from the Libs. He now works in the resources sector. The popularity of former MP Randall also boosted the Liberal vote. Mandurah is kind of a hybrid of a Perth Suburb and its own city, and the rest is rural-ish (except Byford which is also basically a suburb. For the early part of its history it was contested between the Liberal Party and the Country Party, and since the 1980s the seat has become much more of a Labor-Liberal marginal seat, usually being held by the party winning government. What went wrong for Labor? He said Australia faced many economic and strategic challenges in the years ahead and wanted to use his experience to protect the country's sovereignty and make it stronger. Tony Abbott was able to gain traction using a scare campaign on the CPRS. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. Photo: AAP. However, the Greens seem to be spruiking free dental via Medicare and social housing as two of their major pitches. 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